{"id":38947,"date":"2026-01-07T17:16:27","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T16:16:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/?p=38947"},"modified":"2026-01-09T14:51:19","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T13:51:19","slug":"sebastien-oliveau-the-conversation-the-end-natural-growth-in-france-should-we-be-worried","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/en\/blog\/2026\/01\/07\/sebastien-oliveau-the-conversation-the-end-natural-growth-in-france-should-we-be-worried\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u00e9bastien Oliveau - Article &amp; video in The Conversation: \u00abThe end of natural growth in France: should we be worried?\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Article by <a href=\"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/en\/blog\/members\/oliveau-sebastien\/\">S\u00e9bastien Oliveau<\/a>, geographer, director of the MSH Paris-Saclay, Universit\u00e9 Paris-Saclay; Aix-Marseille Universit\u00e9 - MESOPOLHIS, <a href=\"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/en\/research\/observatories\/\">DEMOMED (Mediterranean Demographic Observatory)<\/a>, published on 23 August 2025 on the media website <em>The Conversation<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><strong>For the first time in a long time, deaths outnumber births in France. Is this really a surprise, or have we simply forgotten to look at the trends? This expected moment is actually a consequence of the end of the demographic transition, which began at the end of the XVIII\u1d49 century.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/fin-de-laccroissement-naturel-en-france-doit-on-sinquieter-262295\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Read the article<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Article reprinted online by the daily newspaper <em>Sud Ouest<\/em> : <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sudouest.fr\/societe\/demographie\/fin-de-l-accroissement-naturel-en-france-doit-on-s-inquieter-25640817.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">available here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"716\" src=\"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Logo_Sud_Ouest_2024.svg.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38950\" style=\"width:142px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Logo_Sud_Ouest_2024.svg.png 960w, https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Logo_Sud_Ouest_2024.svg-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Logo_Sud_Ouest_2024.svg-768x573.png 768w, https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Logo_Sud_Ouest_2024.svg-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>To find out more, watch the video <a href=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/shorts\/5KmkLt6EZBU?si=DOzE4AdUhHoyAqgi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00ab2025, a demographic turning point: fewer births than deaths in France\u00bb.\u00bb<\/a> broadcast on the social networks of <em>The Conversation France<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-9-16 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"2025, demographic turning point: fewer births than deaths in France\" width=\"422\" height=\"750\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5KmkLt6EZBU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Description :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2025, France will be in a tailspin: for the first time in decades, there will be more deaths than births. Should we be worried? An ageing population, the future of young people, birth policies, immigration...<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demographer S\u00e9bastien Oliveau (Universit\u00e9 Paris-Saclay) helps us to understand what's at stake. A subject that is vital for the future of French society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:30px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Article by S\u00e9bastien Oliveau, geographer, Director of MSH Paris-Saclay, Universit\u00e9 Paris-Saclay; Aix-Marseille Universit\u00e9 - MESOPOLHIS, DEMOMED (Observatoire d\u00e9mographique de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e), published on 23 August 2025 on The Conversation media website. For the first time in a long time, deaths outnumber births in France. Is this really a surprise, or...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":343,"featured_media":38690,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[343,59],"class_list":["post-38947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dans-les-medias","tag-343","tag-a-la-une"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S\u00e9bastien Oliveau \u2013 Article &amp; vid\u00e9o dans The Conversation : \u00ab Fin de l\u2019accroissement naturel en France : doit-on s\u2019inqui\u00e9ter ? \u00bb - Mesopolhis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mesopolhis.fr\/en\/blog\/2026\/01\/07\/sebastien-oliveau-the-conversation-the-end-natural-growth-in-france-should-we-be-worried\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"S\u00e9bastien Oliveau \u2013 Article &amp; vid\u00e9o dans The Conversation : \u00ab Fin de l\u2019accroissement naturel en France : doit-on s\u2019inqui\u00e9ter ? \u00bb - Mesopolhis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Article de S\u00e9bastien Oliveau, g\u00e9ographe, directeur de la MSH Paris-Saclay, Universit\u00e9 Paris-Saclay ; Aix-Marseille Universit\u00e9 &#8211; MESOPOLHIS, DEMOMED (Observatoire d\u00e9mographique de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e), publi\u00e9 le 23 ao\u00fbt 2025 sur le site web du media The Conversation. 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